WAS 106-120 MIN, January 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat WAS 120-106, and MIN's shots were worth 113.6 points to WAS's 106.4.

WAS 106-120 MIN, January 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
WAS	91	97	95.5	9/15	10.9	106	106.4
MIN	83	96	88.6	24/31	25.0	120	113.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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