PHX 120-113 CHA, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat CHA 120-113, but CHA's shots were worth 112.6 points to PHX's 111.5.

PHX 120-113 CHA, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	87	101	94.1	19/22	17.4	120	111.5
CHA	92	97	96.5	16/20	16.1	113	112.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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