UTA 112-111 BKN, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat BKN 112-111, but BKN's shots were worth 122.7 points to UTA's 106.7.

UTA 112-111 BKN, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	90	97	91.1	15/20	15.7	112	106.7
BKN	92	88	96.9	23/35	25.8	111	122.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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