CHI 119-124 SAC, January 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat CHI 124-119, and SAC's shots were worth 128.4 points to CHI's 119.1.

CHI 119-124 SAC, January 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	93	104	103.2	15/20	15.9	119	119.1
SAC	95	107	111.8	17/21	16.6	124	128.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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