MIN 125-127 MEM, January 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat MIN 127-125, and MEM's shots were worth 138.8 points to MIN's 116.9.

MIN 125-127 MEM, January 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	83	111	101.9	14/19	15.1	125	116.9
MEM	108	112	123.7	15/19	15.1	127	138.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.