PHX 114-106 UTA, January 11, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat UTA 114-106, but UTA's shots were worth 110.8 points to PHX's 105.5.

PHX 114-106 UTA, January 11, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	86	101	90.9	13/19	14.6	114	105.5
UTA	96	93	96.5	13/18	14.3	106	110.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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