DEN 124-105 BKN, January 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat BKN 124-105, and DEN's shots were worth 116.4 points to BKN's 110.3.

DEN 124-105 BKN, January 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	87	99	91.9	25/33	24.6	124	116.4
BKN	90	90	95.5	15/19	14.8	105	110.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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