NYK 101-126 OKC, January 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat NYK 126-101, but NYK's shots were worth 123.2 points to OKC's 112.4.

NYK 101-126 OKC, January 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
NYK9678104.623/2318.6101123.2
OKC8911097.616/1814.8126112.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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