PHI 115-123 NOP, January 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. NOP beat PHI 123-115, but PHI's shots were worth 121.2 points to NOP's 120.7.

PHI 115-123 NOP, January 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	91	98	105.9	17/19	15.4	115	121.2
NOP	91	106	101.1	17/26	19.6	123	120.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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