IND 108-96 GSW, January 10, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat GSW 108-96, but GSW's shots were worth 101.2 points to IND's 96.6.

IND 108-96 GSW, January 10, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	82	95	81.5	13/19	15.1	108	96.6
GSW	91	86	91.6	10/13	9.6	96	101.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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