UTA 92-97 MIA, January 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat UTA 97-92, and MIA's shots were worth 100.7 points to UTA's 96.6.

UTA 92-97 MIA, January 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	83	77	83.8	15/17	12.8	92	96.6
MIA	91	86	88.6	11/15	12.1	97	100.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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