DAL 117-111 POR, January 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat POR 117-111, and DAL's shots were worth 122.9 points to POR's 119.1.

DAL 117-111 POR, January 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL8890100.227/3022.7117122.9
POR9394104.017/2015.1111119.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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