MEM 115-119 HOU, January 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat MEM 119-115, and HOU's shots were worth 134.9 points to MEM's 111.9.

MEM 115-119 HOU, January 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	84	94	88.1	21/30	23.8	115	111.9
HOU	96	95	105.3	24/41	29.6	119	134.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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