ORL 89-104 MIN, January 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat ORL 104-89, and MIN's shots were worth 120.7 points to ORL's 112.0.

ORL 89-104 MIN, January 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	87	76	97.4	13/19	14.6	89	112.0
MIN	85	80	95.8	24/31	24.8	104	120.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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