CLE 132-126 TOR, January 9, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat TOR 132-126, and CLE's shots were worth 121.4 points to TOR's 109.0.

CLE 132-126 TOR, January 9, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	89	112	101.4	20/25	19.9	132	121.4
TOR	89	120	99.6	6/13	9.4	126	109.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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