MIL 121-105 SAS, January 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat SAS 121-105, and MIL's shots were worth 119.6 points to SAS's 114.3.

MIL 121-105 SAS, January 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	92	107	104.1	14/20	15.6	121	119.6
SAS	95	88	98.7	17/20	15.6	105	114.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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