CLE 129-122 OKC, January 8, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat OKC 129-122, and CLE's shots were worth 128.8 points to OKC's 114.6.

CLE 129-122 OKC, January 8, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	90	109	108.0	20/27	20.8	129	128.8
OKC	90	107	101.0	15/17	13.6	122	114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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