DEN 106-118 BOS, January 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat DEN 118-106, and BOS's shots were worth 117.3 points to DEN's 108.1.

DEN 106-118 BOS, January 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	87	94	97.3	12/15	10.8	106	108.1
BOS	88	100	101.0	18/20	16.2	118	117.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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