UTA 121-124 ATL, January 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat UTA 124-121, but UTA's shots were worth 121.1 points to ATL's 114.9.

UTA 121-124 ATL, January 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	96	99	101.8	22/25	19.2	121	121.1
ATL	98	112	102.0	12/15	12.8	124	114.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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