CHA 115-104 PHX, January 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHA beat PHX 115-104, and CHA's shots were worth 130.6 points to PHX's 111.5.

CHA 115-104 PHX, January 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	98	89	107.9	26/29	22.7	115	130.6
PHX	92	86	95.2	18/19	16.3	104	111.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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