MEM 119-104 DAL, January 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat DAL 119-104, and MEM's shots were worth 118.2 points to DAL's 117.8.

MEM 119-104 DAL, January 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	88	92	91.2	27/35	27.0	119	118.2
DAL	98	93	106.1	11/15	11.7	104	117.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.