NYK 94-103 ORL, January 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. ORL beat NYK 103-94, but NYK's shots were worth 106.6 points to ORL's 101.4.

NYK 94-103 ORL, January 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NYK	81	76	88.8	18/22	17.8	94	106.6
ORL	78	89	87.8	14/18	13.6	103	101.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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