BKN 99-113 IND, January 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat BKN 113-99, but BKN's shots were worth 117.5 points to IND's 107.7.

BKN 99-113 IND, January 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	98	92	108.8	7/11	8.7	99	117.5
IND	79	92	89.3	21/23	18.4	113	107.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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