PHI 99-109 PHX, January 6, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat PHI 109-99, but PHI's shots were worth 113.8 points to PHX's 105.6.

PHI 99-109 PHX, January 6, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	87	83	94.3	16/26	19.5	99	113.8
PHX	81	96	90.2	13/19	15.4	109	105.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.