GSW 99-129 SAC, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat GSW 129-99, and SAC's shots were worth 107.3 points to GSW's 98.5.

GSW 99-129 SAC, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	81	86	84.0	13/18	14.5	99	98.5
SAC	87	109	90.3	20/22	17.0	129	107.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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