ORL 92-105 UTA, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat ORL 105-92, but ORL's shots were worth 115.9 points to UTA's 99.0.

ORL 92-105 UTA, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	98	84	106.2	8/13	9.7	92	115.9
UTA	81	89	85.0	16/18	13.9	105	99.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.