WAS 98-110 NOP, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NOP beat WAS 110-98, and NOP's shots were worth 117.2 points to WAS's 103.3.

WAS 98-110 NOP, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS898792.511/1410.898103.3
NOP9092102.318/2014.8110117.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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