OKC 105-92 BOS, January 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat BOS 105-92, but BOS's shots were worth 110.1 points to OKC's 105.4.

OKC 105-92 BOS, January 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	87	94	94.4	11/13	11.0	105	105.4
BOS	85	71	90.8	21/24	19.3	92	110.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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