GSW 121-113 MEM, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat MEM 121-113, and GSW's shots were worth 98.9 points to MEM's 94.2.

GSW 121-113 MEM, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	84	111	86.7	10/16	12.1	121	98.9
MEM	88	101	82.3	12/16	11.9	113	94.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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