CHI 139-126 NYK, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat NYK 139-126, but NYK's shots were worth 114.2 points to CHI's 107.7.

CHI 139-126 NYK, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	94	122	93.3	17/18	14.4	139	107.7
NYK	97	104	91.7	22/28	22.5	126	114.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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