MIA 100-136 UTA, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UTA beat MIA 136-100, and UTA's shots were worth 123.8 points to MIA's 116.2.

MIA 100-136 UTA, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	80	79	92.9	21/30	23.4	100	116.2
UTA	100	123	111.8	13/16	12.0	136	123.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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