IND 126-108 PHX, January 4, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat PHX 126-108, and IND's shots were worth 120.0 points to PHX's 96.9.

IND 126-108 PHX, January 4, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	96	107	102.9	19/21	17.0	126	120.0
PHX	78	88	79.7	20/21	17.2	108	96.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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