LAL 119-102 ATL, January 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat ATL 119-102, but ATL's shots were worth 122.7 points to LAL's 117.6.

LAL 119-102 ATL, January 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	88	99	97.6	20/25	19.9	119	117.6
ATL	100	88	107.8	14/18	15.0	102	122.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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