SAC 138-133 MEM, January 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat MEM 138-133, and SAC's shots were worth 118.6 points to MEM's 112.0.

SAC 138-133 MEM, January 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	99	119	99.6	19/23	19.0	138	118.6
MEM	89	103	83.8	30/36	28.2	133	112.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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