OKC 117-107 NYK, January 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OKC beat NYK 117-107, but NYK's shots were worth 111.4 points to OKC's 108.2.

OKC 117-107 NYK, January 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	84	100	91.1	17/21	17.1	117	108.2
NYK	90	95	97.9	12/17	13.5	107	111.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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