HOU 86-109 BOS, January 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat HOU 109-86, and BOS's shots were worth 100.5 points to HOU's 99.4.

HOU 86-109 BOS, January 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	88	74	90.6	12/12	8.8	86	99.4
BOS	77	97	86.4	12/18	14.1	109	100.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.