DET 98-94 CHA, January 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat CHA 98-94, but CHA's shots were worth 110.8 points to DET's 107.8.

DET 98-94 CHA, January 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	93	90	97.4	8/13	10.3	98	107.8
CHA	80	75	87.0	19/30	23.9	94	110.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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