LAL 114-106 POR, January 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat POR 114-106, and LAL's shots were worth 121.6 points to POR's 104.4.

LAL 114-106 POR, January 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	94	101	110.2	13/14	11.4	114	121.6
POR	80	89	88.3	17/21	16.1	106	104.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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