MIL 110-113 BKN, January 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat MIL 113-110, but MIL's shots were worth 125.7 points to BKN's 116.3.

MIL 110-113 BKN, January 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	90	91	104.0	19/28	21.7	110	125.7
BKN	88	88	95.5	25/28	20.9	113	116.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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