MIN 115-118 BOS, January 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat MIN 118-115, and BOS's shots were worth 108.8 points to MIN's 100.1.

MIN 115-118 BOS, January 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	74	95	82.6	20/22	17.6	115	100.1
BOS	92	114	104.0	4/6	4.8	118	108.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.