MIA 115-128 IND, January 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. IND beat MIA 128-115, and IND's shots were worth 108.9 points to MIA's 93.7.

MIA 115-128 IND, January 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	75	97	77.2	18/21	16.6	115	93.7
IND	96	119	96.7	9/16	12.3	128	108.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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