TOR 130-113 BKN, January 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TOR beat BKN 130-113, but BKN's shots were worth 115.7 points to TOR's 112.4.

TOR 130-113 BKN, January 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	88	120	102.1	10/13	10.3	130	112.4
BKN	87	95	99.9	18/20	15.8	113	115.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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