MIA 119-108 NOP, January 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat NOP 119-108, and MIA's shots were worth 110.1 points to NOP's 105.4.

MIA 119-108 NOP, January 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	83	102	93.5	17/21	16.7	119	110.1
NOP	80	89	88.1	19/22	17.4	108	105.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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