DET 105-96 ORL, January 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat ORL 105-96, but ORL's shots were worth 108.4 points to DET's 102.9.

DET 105-96 ORL, January 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	79	94	89.6	11/17	13.3	105	102.9
ORL	91	82	93.1	14/20	15.3	96	108.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.