No. CLE beat LAL 122-110, but LAL's shots were worth 119.8 points to CLE's 116.2.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 95 | 93 | 103.9 | 17/19 | 15.9 | 110 | 119.8 |
| CLE | 93 | 108 | 102.9 | 14/17 | 13.2 | 122 | 116.2 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.