OKC 113-105 MIN, December 31, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MIN 113-105, and OKC's shots were worth 116.4 points to MIN's 96.1.

OKC 113-105 MIN, December 31, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	89	96	97.7	17/23	18.7	113	116.4
MIN	79	93	86.6	12/12	9.5	105	96.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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