IND 112-120 MIL, December 31, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat IND 120-112, and MIL's shots were worth 124.3 points to IND's 118.2.

IND 112-120 MIL, December 31, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	90	93	94.8	19/30	23.4	112	118.2
MIL	97	102	107.2	18/24	17.2	120	124.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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