SAC 110-100 DAL, December 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat DAL 110-100, and SAC's shots were worth 128.6 points to DAL's 104.9.

SAC 110-100 DAL, December 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAC10094113.016/1915.6110128.6
DAL767682.724/2922.2100104.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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