POR 103-125 PHI, December 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat POR 125-103, but POR's shots were worth 111.7 points to PHI's 109.9.

POR 103-125 PHI, December 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	77	82	88.3	21/30	23.4	103	111.7
PHI	75	97	84.5	28/31	25.4	125	109.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.