UTA 121-132 DEN, December 30, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat UTA 132-121, and DEN's shots were worth 127.6 points to UTA's 110.8.

UTA 121-132 DEN, December 30, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	86	101	93.1	20/22	17.7	121	110.8
DEN	105	115	112.5	17/19	15.2	132	127.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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